Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 92.834185 106.029232 121.465366 141.129901 165.924720 196.738157 238.916433
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 77.273587 94.333553 116.511158 148.529258 195.602751 266.130532 389.000877
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 71.887853 92.239919 120.947629 166.933965 244.644429 385.375272 711.922483
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 63.612205 84.071423 114.400762 166.334805 262.908817 464.812975 1069.399669
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 57.423047 77.657209 108.855660 165.282739 279.260157 551.874973 1631.550289
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 52.021363 71.563658 102.600117 161.165585 287.651912 627.776760 2423.245342
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 48.122745 67.257746 98.503045 159.918027 301.743650 734.170585 4051.460887
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 45.221940 64.167603 95.944781 160.979080 321.877887 885.942913 8317.659300
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 41.883802 60.004225 90.923315 155.891292 324.276893 977.296119 15637.920648
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 40.715675 59.312565 92.015249 164.058741 367.695622 1337.647287 193182.186455
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 38.103987 55.914658 87.653907 159.079977 369.317429 1481.670429 NaN
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 36.451057 54.033089 85.951479 159.980884 391.137097 1834.497955 NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 34.308280 51.299715 82.643821 157.292446 403.205381 2214.664737 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 33.460003 50.822970 83.803517 166.335356 468.243547 3711.986241 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 33.672118 52.278258 89.116146 188.252545 616.531548 11308.963097 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 32.091587 50.224511 86.679631 187.538503 653.805682 19936.909908 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 30.634592 48.283948 84.252884 186.281652 688.870732 40394.127369 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 29.077062 46.034118 80.892125 181.369347 697.590572 75022.247989 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 27.874221 44.390705 78.734458 179.883009 730.638171 309459.707287 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 26.936699 43.200493 77.487154 181.147082 788.584347 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 25.657359 41.250675 74.283958 175.092490 781.979201 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 25.329983 41.179201 75.499144 184.820129 933.875151 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 24.219292 39.452088 72.568038 178.885126 925.640784 NaN NaN